JPMorgan Outlines 4 Global Outlook Scenarios Warns of Boil the Frog Recession as Global Downturn Looms
Global investment bank JPMorgan has presented four probable global outlook scenarios, with “boil the frog” recession emerging as the most likely outcome. The bank’s economists warned: “Broad-based developed-market tightening points to a more synchronized global downturn sometime in 2024.” JPMorgan’s Global Outlook and ‘Boil the Frog’ Recession Global investment bank JPMorgan has provided an overview of four potential global outlook scenarios that it expects to unfold in 2023 and 2024. The bank’s economists believe that the likelihood of the United States entering a recession outweighs the possibility of avoiding one. The most likely outcome, according to JPMorgan, is “boil the frog” recession, with the U.S. slipping into recession at the same time as the rest of the global economy. The economists assigned a 36% probability to this scenario, highlighting that it is primarily driven by the implementation of aggressive monetary tightening in response to persistent inflation. “Centra...