Bitcoin News and Finance
Plan B’s Stock-to-Flow Bitcoin Price Model ‘Predicts $100K by Christmas,’ S2F Creator Discusses ‘Time Model’ Skip to main content

Plan B’s Stock-to-Flow Bitcoin Price Model ‘Predicts $100K by Christmas,’ S2F Creator Discusses ‘Time Model’

Plan B's Stock-to-Flow Bitcoin Price Model 'Predicts $100K by Christmas,' S2F Creator Discusses 'Time Model'

The pseudo-anonymous bitcoin analyst called Plan B gave his 704,000 Twitter followers an update on the notorious stock-to-flow (S2F) bitcoin price model. Plan B stressed on August 27, that the “next months will be key” as he believes the bitcoin S2F model “predicts $100K by Christmas.”

‘$100K by Xmas’

Plan B is a popular figure in the bitcoin world as the pseudo-anonymous analyst is well known for his stock-to-flow (S2F) price model. In basic terms, the model quantifies the commodity’s (bitcoin) scarcity and then divides it by yearly issuance (the flow).

For quite some time now, Plan B and many other S2F fans have insisted that if the model is correct, BTC could one day reach $100K and in the future, possibly a million U.S. dollars per coin. However, in June and July, bitcoin (BTC) prices pulled back a great deal, after reaching a value of more than $64K per unit.

S2F chart shared by Plan B on August 27, 2021.

After the price drop, Bitcoin.com News reported on how Plan B was still confident that the bitcoin “bull is not over.” Following the last S2F update, Plan B spoke about his model on August 27th, and gave a prediction.

“Bitcoin stock-to-flow model predicts $100K by Christmas,” Plan B tweeted. “Time model (diminishing returns, lengthening cycles) $30K. Next months will be key. Note that color overlay is on-chain signal (not time to halving), indicating we are between bottom (blue) and top (red), in line with S2F,” the pseudo-anonymous analyst added.

The Time Model Discussion, Plan B’s S2F Preference

Intothecryptoverse.com’s Benjamin Cowen replied to Plan B’s August 27 tweet, and said: “The time model just shows the ‘fair value.’ It does not say that the price of bitcoin has to be that price at a certain time. We can move above and below it, like we do with the S2F model.”

Plan B responded to Cowen’s statement and said: Of course BTC price can move above and below both models.[The] point is that BTC price is currently ABOVE time model, so it is not illogical to expect lower prices if you follow [the] time model. And [the price of BTC] is BELOW S2F model, so it is logical to expect higher prices if you follow S2F.”

Cowen, however, replied further stating:

The extension above the time model in terms of percent shows that we should expect it to ultimately extend further than it already has. If we started expecting it to go lower the minute it moved above the fair value, well that would also be irrational.

Plan B has been bullish for a long time and Bitcoin.com News has covered the S2F trajectory and the model’s criticisms. The model’s creator has often said that BTC will see six-digit prices and he believes the model is on track. The pseudo-anonymous analyst tweets about S2F regularly among other statistics and figures that are tethered to bitcoin.

Chart shared by Plan B on August 25, 2021.

“Nobody who bought bitcoin and hodled 4+ years (200 weeks) lost money, ever,” Plan B said last week. “Also, both 200wma and realized cap (average cost price of all 18.8M BTC) are at all-time high (ATH).” On August 19, Plan B explain why he prefers the S2F model in contrast to the time model and other estimates.

S2F chart shared by Plan B on August 19, 2021.

“S2F model: BTC=a*(S2F ratio)^b,” Plan B stated. “Time model: BTC=a*(months from Jan09)^b. Why I prefer S2F model: [It] tells you when price increases: after halvings, [has] more robust parameters (a,b), time not an input variable, S2FX not a time series, interpolation [is] possible, [and its] usable with other assets,” the S2F creator added.

What do you think about Plan B’s stock-to-flow update and the call for a $100K by Christmas? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.

Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Custodial Lightning Network Service Attack Discovered by LN ‘Newbie’ — Hacker Strikes 6 LN Custodians

On September 18, a Redditor posted to the r/bitcoin forum and explained how he discovered a way to “attack [the] lightning Network’s custodial services.” The Reddit account dubbed “Reckless Satoshi” wanted to figure out if a “discrepancy between real routing fees and service’s transaction fee can be exploited for a profit.” The researcher disclosed that he wanted to see how large the damage could be and said “it is bad.” 6 Lightning Network Custodial Services Attacked, Researcher Discloses Findings to Offenders Prior to Public Disclosure A Redditor called Reckless Satoshi published a disclosure post on r/bitcoin this past Saturday and disclosed how he had found a vulnerability with routing fees and some of the Lightning Network’s custodial services. The research attack was done in good faith and after it was complete he disclosed the bugs to the offending services before publishing his findings. Reckless Satoshi used the Lightning Network (LN) attack on six different services incl...
Post a Comment
Read more

Axie Infinity Down 40% Since Last Week’s Price High, Protocol Revenue Outshines Competitors

Last week, the game token leveraged within the Axie Infinity gaming universe skyrocketed to all-time highs, while other crypto markets remained extremely lackluster. During the last seven days, Axie Infinity’s platform token has dropped significantly in value shedding more than 12%. Meanwhile, the game platform’s smooth love potion token has slid over 8% over the last 24 hours. Axie Infinity Down More Than 40% Since All-Time High Not too long ago, the axie infinity (AXS) token was a topical conversation because it reached an all-time high on July 15. At the time, AXS managed to capture $28.93 per unit and since then it has shed 12.8% during the last seven days. The axie infinity (AXS) token is used within the blockchain-based game that involves battles between token-based creatures called “Axies.” AXS is used for the game’s governance system as well as other actions within the game. At the time of writing axie infinity (AXS) is exchanging hands for $16.70 per coin. AXS/USD on Ju...
Post a Comment
Read more

Play-to-Earn Game From Polker (PKR) Exchange Listing – Endorsed by Akon

The Play-to-Earn NFT based Polker.Game ‘s native token $PKR has been officially listed on the popular centralized exchange BitMart. Polker.game has been in the spotlight recently as Akon, the American R&B superstar and record producer gave his official endorsement of polker stating that the “game is revolutionary” and that Polker is “hands down.. the best play to earn, NFT game in the space.”. With the BitMart listing and celebrity endorsement from Akon, Polker is perfectly positioned to become a major player in the Play-to-Earn league. Watch Akon’s Video Here What is Play-to-Earn? Although not a new concept, play-to-earn has become a trending term due to the popularity of the NFT game AXIE infinity. In the past, previous play-to-earn games have also achieved success – however, thanks to the huge amount of development in the blockchain space in recent years the gaming experience is now massively improved. Play-to-Earn games are essentially free to play and open to anyone and...
Post a Comment
Read more

China to Crack Down on Copyright Infringement Through NFTs

Authorities in China are going after creators of digital collectibles based on other people’s works of art, the use of which was not authorized. The government offensive is part of a campaign to combat online copyright infringement and piracy with the participation of several departments. Regulators in China Move to Strengthen Copyright Supervision of Online Platforms The National Copyright Administration of China (NCAC) has recently launched a campaign against copyright infringement and piracy on the internet, together with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, and the State Internet Information Office of the People’s Republic. A major objective of the initiative is to improve copyright supervision of online businesses by investigating cases involving the sale and distribution of infringing products on short video, live broadcast and e-commerce platforms, and promptly dealing with infringing content, the agency announced in a press r...
Post a Comment
Read more
Blogarama - Blog Directory